Realistic weight loss
Calorie Deficit Calculator
Find your daily calorie deficit to lose weight, the target calories to eat, and a realistic date to reach your goal. The timeline uses a dynamic model that accounts for your metabolism slowing down, so it does not over-promise like the old 3,500-calorie rule.
Your plan
Calorie deficit & timeline
Target calories
2,168kcal/day
- Maintenance
- 2,710 kcal
- Daily deficit
- 542 kcal
- Realistic goal date
- October 30, 2026
- ≈ 116 days
- Weight to lose
- 17 lb
The old "3,500 kcal = 1 lb" rule would guess about 110 days. Our dynamic model accounts for your metabolism slowing as you get lighter, so it does not over-promise.
Compare your options
Compare deficit scenarios side by side
A bigger deficit is faster but harder to sustain. See the realistic target date and weekly loss for a 250, 500 and 750 kcal deficit at once, then try moving more to reach your goal sooner without eating less.
Units
Maintenance ≈ 2,710 kcal/day · losing 17 lb
−250 kcal/day
Target calories
2,460 kcal
- Realistic goal date
- May 18, 2027
- ≈ 316 days
- Average loss
- 0.4 lb/week
- 3,500-rule guess
- ≈ 238 days(optimistic)
−500 kcal/day
BalancedTarget calories
2,210 kcal
- Realistic goal date
- November 11, 2026
- ≈ 128 days
- Average loss
- 0.9 lb/week
- 3,500-rule guess
- ≈ 119 days(optimistic)
−750 kcal/day
Target calories
1,960 kcal
- Realistic goal date
- September 25, 2026
- ≈ 81 days
- Average loss
- 1.5 lb/week
- 3,500-rule guess
- ≈ 79 days(optimistic)
Each card also shows what the old 3,500-calorie rule would predict. Our realistic dates are slower on purpose: as you lose weight your metabolism adapts and burns a little less, so a flat rule over-promises here.
How a calorie deficit works
A calorie deficit means eating fewer calories than your body burns. When you do, your body covers the gap from stored energy (mostly body fat) and you lose weight. The size of the gap sets the speed: a larger daily deficit loses weight faster, but is harder to stick to and risks muscle loss if protein and training are neglected.
To find your deficit we first estimate your maintenance calories (your TDEE). We calculate your basal metabolic rate with the Mifflin-St Jeor equation (or the more precise Katch-McArdle equation if you enter your body fat %), then multiply it by an activity factor:
| Activity level | Typical week | Factor |
|---|---|---|
| Sedentary | Little or no exercise | × 1.20 |
| Light | 1–3 workouts / week | × 1.375 |
| Moderate | 3–5 workouts / week | × 1.55 |
| Active | 6–7 workouts / week | × 1.725 |
| Very active | Hard daily training or physical job | × 1.90 |
What is a safe calorie deficit?
A safe calorie deficit is a moderate one: roughly 15 to 25% below your maintenance calories, which is why this calculator defaults to about a 20% deficit. Start from your maintenance calories (your TDEE) and subtract from there, rather than guessing a round number that may be far too aggressive.
Just as important is the floor. Eating far below it does not make fat loss faster in a healthy way: it mostly costs you muscle, energy and adherence. If your goal would push you under the floor, the tool raises your target to the safe minimum and shows a warning. This calculator is general education only and is not for anyone who is pregnant, under 18, or has a history of disordered eating; if that is you, please speak to a qualified professional.
| Sex | Daily floor | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Men | 1,500 kcal/day | Floor below which we never recommend going |
| Women | 1,200 kcal/day | Floor below which we never recommend going |
How many calories to lose 1 kg (or 1 lb)?
Losing 1 kg of body fat takes roughly a 7,700 kcal deficit, and 1 lb takes about 3,500 kcal. So a 500 kcal daily deficit adds up to about 3,500 kcal a week, near one pound of fat. Treat these as rough averages: they ignore water weight and the metabolic slowdown the tool above models for you.
How long will it take to lose weight?
The bigger your daily deficit the sooner you reach your goal, and the table below shows how long a 5, 10 or 15 kg loss takes at each deficit. Use it to set expectations, then trust the dynamic projection in the tool above for your real date: it slows down realistically as you get lighter.
| Daily deficit | ≈ per week | To lose 5 kg | To lose 10 kg | To lose 15 kg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250 kcal/day | 0.23 kg (0.50 lb) | 22 weeks | 44 weeks | 66 weeks |
| 500 kcal/day | 0.45 kg (1.00 lb) | 11 weeks | 22 weeks | 33 weeks |
| 750 kcal/day | 0.68 kg (1.50 lb) | 7 weeks | 15 weeks | 22 weeks |
| 1,000 kcal/day | 0.91 kg (2.00 lb) | 6 weeks | 11 weeks | 17 weeks |
Why our timeline is slower than the 3,500-calorie rule
The old rule says a 3,500-calorie deficit always equals one pound of fat lost, forever. In reality, as you get lighter you burn fewer calories, so weight loss gradually slows and can plateau. Our projection models that metabolic adaptation, which is why the realistic date is later than a flat estimate. It is the honest number, not the flattering one.
What is zigzag dieting (calorie cycling)?
Zigzag dieting (also called calorie cycling) means varying your daily calories across the week while keeping the same weekly average. Instead of eating the exact same deficit every day, you eat a little more on hard training days and a little less on rest days. The side-by-side scenario tool higher up this page lets you compare a 250, 500 and 750 kcal deficit at once, which is the simplest way to see how cycling changes your weekly loss. If the scale stalls but you look leaner, you may be recomposing: the body recomposition calculator is built for that case.
Why am I not losing weight in a calorie deficit?
If the scale has stalled, the usual culprit is not a broken metabolism. The most common reasons are underestimated portions, weekend calories that erase the weekday deficit, water retention, and a real metabolic slowdown as you get lighter. Track your intake honestly for two weeks, weigh in at the same time on several days and follow the trend, and keep protein high enough to protect muscle. The macro calculator turns your target into protein, carbs and fat.
Good to know
Frequently asked questions
What is a calorie deficit?
A calorie deficit means eating fewer calories than your body burns in a day. When you are in a deficit, your body makes up the difference from stored energy (mostly body fat) and you lose weight over time.
How big should my calorie deficit be?
A moderate deficit of about 15–25% below your maintenance calories (TDEE) is a sustainable default. Larger deficits lose weight faster but are harder to stick to and risk muscle loss. This calculator uses roughly a 20% deficit and never recommends going below safe calorie floors.
How long will it take me to lose weight?
It depends on your deficit and starting point. This calculator projects a realistic date using a dynamic model that accounts for how your metabolism and body composition change as you lose weight: a more honest estimate than the old, fixed '3,500 calories = 1 pound' rule.
How does our timeline compare to the 3,500-calorie rule?
The flat 3,500-calorie rule assumes your energy expenditure never changes. For most people our projection is slower, because as you get lighter you burn fewer calories, so weight loss gradually slows and can plateau. If you are already lean it can go the other way: you lose a mix of fat and muscle that holds less energy per kilo than fat alone, so you may lose noticeably faster at first before it slows down. Either way, modelling your body composition and metabolism is more honest than a single fixed linear estimate.
What is the lowest number of calories that is safe?
As a general safety floor, this tool will not recommend dropping below about 1,500 kcal/day for men or 1,200 kcal/day for women. Very low intakes should only happen under professional supervision.
Will I lose muscle in a calorie deficit?
You can preserve most muscle by keeping a moderate deficit, eating enough protein (around 1.6–2.2 g per kg of bodyweight), and doing resistance training. Crash diets with very low calories and no training are the main cause of muscle loss.
Do I need to count calories exactly?
No. Treat the number as a well-informed starting target. Track your weight trend over 2–3 weeks and adjust: if the scale is not moving on average, lower intake slightly or move more.
How long does it take to lose 10 kg?
It depends mainly on your deficit size and starting weight. As a rough guide, one kilo of fat holds about 7,700 kcal, so a steady deficit of around 500 kcal/day points to roughly 5 months for 10 kg. In practice it usually takes a little longer, because our dynamic model accounts for your metabolism slowing as you get lighter. Enter your goal weight above for a personalised timeline.
Is a 1,000-calorie deficit safe?
A 1,000 kcal/day deficit is aggressive and only sensible for some people with a higher starting weight, ideally with guidance. The risk is dropping below the safe calorie floors (about 1,500 kcal for men and 1,200 kcal for women), losing muscle, and struggling to keep it up. For most people a deficit of about 15–25% below maintenance is more realistic and easier to sustain.
Should I eat 1,200 or 1,500 calories a day?
Neither figure is a goal: 1,200 kcal (women) and 1,500 kcal (men) are the safety floors we never recommend going under, so they only really fit the smallest, least active people. Most people should eat noticeably more and still lose fat steadily. Instead of choosing a round number, enter your details above so the calculator sets a target from your own maintenance calories.
How much weight can I realistically lose in a month?
A common, sustainable rate is about 0.5–1% of your bodyweight per week, which works out near 2–4 kg per month for many people. Heavier starting points often lose faster at first, while leaner bodies lose more slowly. Faster is not better: pushing harder mostly costs muscle and makes the diet harder to maintain.
Is this medical advice?
No. This calculator is for general information and education only and is not medical or nutritional advice. Consult a qualified professional before changing your diet, especially if you are pregnant, have a history of disordered eating, or have a medical condition.
Evidence
Sources & references
- Mifflin MD, St Jeor ST, et al. (1990). A new predictive equation for resting energy expenditure · The BMR equation this calculator uses by default.
- NIH Body Weight Planner (Hall KD et al.) · The dynamic weight-loss model that accounts for metabolic adaptation.
- Trexler ET, Smith-Ryan AE, Norton LE (2014). Metabolic adaptation to weight loss: implications for the athlete · J Int Soc Sports Nutr: why energy expenditure falls as you diet, so a flat 3,500-calorie rule over-promises.
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